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Red83
308214.6
588330.1
181626.3
Blue70
300328.8
558723.4
205230.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768640601001208370

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5883
#39
30.10.3
30.731.0
Auto5.7
Teleop17.6
End6.7
red by 0.1
2052
#19
30.01.1
28.227.1
Auto5.3
Teleop18.3
End6.3
Second
1816
#18
26.30.3
27.127.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End8.4
blue by 2.5
3003
#21
28.81.1
28.527.4
Auto5.4
Teleop12.6
End10.8
Third
3082
#37
14.60.3
14.614.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End3.4
blue by 8.9
5587
#40
23.41.1
24.423.2
Auto5.8
Teleop14.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsEarned96%HAB Docking oddsEarned