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Red78
338623.1
176828.5
569018.9
Blue57
375027.2
691115.7
558723.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7270556065758085907857

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#24
28.50.4
28.028.5
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End5.6
red by 1.3
3750
#31
27.20.6
28.127.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End7.6
Second
3386
#32
23.10.4
22.222.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End5.0
blue by 0.3
5587
#40
23.40.6
23.022.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.1
End3.5
Third
5690
#67
18.90.4
18.218.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End3.8
red by 3.2
6911
#52
15.70.6
15.514.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsMissed84%HAB Docking oddsMissed