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Red75
308214.6
524318.5
222023.9
Blue74
107625.5
743216.4
87624.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58682040801007574

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#33
23.91.2
22.323.5
Auto4.7
Teleop14.0
End5.1
blue by 1.6
25.50.7
23.824.4
Auto5.4
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Second
5243
#48
18.51.2
17.518.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End3.1
blue by 6.2
876
#22
24.80.7
23.624.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End7.7
Third
3082
#37
14.61.2
14.816.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End3.4
blue by 1.9
7432
#57
16.40.7
16.717.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsEarned