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Red79
209623.8
176828.5
11129.4
Blue79
29316.0
571226.0
222023.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836840601001207979

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#43
29.4
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End5.9
red by 3.4
5712
#38
26.0
Auto5.3
Teleop13.9
End6.9
Second
1768
#24
28.5
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End5.6
red by 4.6
2220
#33
23.9
Auto4.7
Teleop14.0
End5.1
Third
2096
#28
23.8
Auto3.9
Teleop16.1
End3.8
red by 7.8
293
#49
16.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
30%Rocket oddsEarned9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsMissed82%HAB Docking oddsEarned