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Red69
743216.4
375027.2
8523.0
Blue70
778515.7
181626.3
87624.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7270506080906970

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3750
#31
27.20.0
27.427.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End7.6
red by 0.9
1816
#18
26.30.3
26.126.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End8.4
Second
85
#11
23.00.0
23.823.8
Auto5.4
Teleop12.1
End5.6
blue by 1.7
876
#22
24.80.3
24.324.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End7.7
Third
7432
#57
16.40.0
17.417.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End2.6
red by 0.7
7785
#66
15.70.3
15.515.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
33%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned94%HAB Docking oddsEarned