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Red68
214730.0
210223.8
218316.8
Blue88
741925.0
477521.5
126121.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767040506080901001106888

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#12
30.00.2
30.730.5
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End6.2
red by 5.0
7419
#25
25.00.5
24.525.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.4
End5.2
Second
2102
#17
23.80.2
23.823.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End8.0
red by 2.0
1261
#43
21.80.5
20.320.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End5.9
Third
2183
#52
16.80.2
17.016.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End5.5
blue by 4.7
4775
#26
21.50.5
21.121.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsEarned65%HAB Docking oddsEarned