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Red78
266215.2
330931.7
551515.9
Blue64
752914.9
756713.3
193923.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63522030407080901007864

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.71.2
31.132.3
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End7.3
red by 7.7
1939
#30
23.91.0
23.324.3
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End5.0
Second
5515
#51
15.91.2
14.715.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.3
End1.8
red by 1.1
7529
#68
14.91.0
13.914.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End1.7
Third
2662
#63
15.21.2
14.015.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End3.1
red by 2.0
7567
#64
13.31.0
12.313.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed