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Red57
552614.1
477521.5
248622.7
Blue51
193923.9
407923.3
512615.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62602040801005751

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#29
22.70.1
21.621.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End5.4
blue by 1.2
1939
#30
23.90.6
22.421.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End5.0
Second
4775
#26
21.50.1
22.622.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End5.8
blue by 1.7
4079
#19
23.30.6
19.318.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End7.7
Third
5526
#57
14.10.1
14.214.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.8
End3.5
blue by 1.0
5126
#50
15.10.6
14.914.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
72%HAB Docking oddsEarned49%HAB Docking oddsMissed