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Red62
789511.1
601418.4
717930.3
Blue36
44214.4
302413.9
266215.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5846203040507080906236

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7179
#21
30.30.5
25.626.1
Auto5.2
Teleop21.1
End3.9
red by 15.1
2662
#63
15.20.5
15.314.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Second
6014
#45
18.40.5
18.719.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End2.8
red by 4.0
442
#56
14.40.5
13.112.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End4.3
Third
7895
#46
11.10.5
10.611.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End3.6
blue by 2.8
3024
#58
13.90.5
14.814.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsMissed