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Red29
413913.0
744111.9
741510.2
Blue38
283920.7
562712.4
46167.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2836102040502938

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4139
#22
13.00.3
10.410.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End3.5
blue by 7.7
20.70.1
15.415.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End6.0
Second
7441
#40
11.90.3
7.37.6
Auto2.3
Teleop6.6
End3.0
blue by 0.5
5627
#34
12.40.1
11.111.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End2.8
Third
7415
#26
10.20.3
8.89.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 3.0
4616
#46
7.20.1
7.67.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed