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Red35
669519.4
162216.5
416012.0
Blue42
458511.2
263710.7
126613.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353810203050603542

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6695
#27
19.40.2
9.79.9
Auto2.9
Teleop12.9
End3.5
red by 5.7
1266
#42
13.70.5
13.913.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End2.6
Second
1622
#29
16.50.2
11.611.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.1
End4.3
red by 5.4
4585
#10
11.20.5
11.010.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.1
Third
4160
#47
12.00.2
11.812.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End3.5
red by 1.4
2637
#41
10.70.5
11.310.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed