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Red49
690414.5
458511.2
283920.7
Blue44
370414.8
688512.0
374917.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39362025304550554944

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.3
15.516.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End6.0
red by 3.1
17.70.1
10.710.7
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Second
6904
#21
14.51.3
10.812.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 0.3
3704
#17
14.80.1
12.112.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End3.9
Third
4585
#10
11.21.3
10.611.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.1
blue by 0.9
6885
#36
12.00.1
11.611.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned49%HAB Docking oddsMissed