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Red74
244319.3
30219.2
98730.4
Blue29
324517.4
458314.1
416012.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4840203060707429

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
30.41.1
21.722.8
Auto4.8
Teleop17.0
End8.6
red by 13.0
3245
#19
17.41.0
11.610.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End4.9
Second
2443
#25
19.31.1
14.916.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End4.0
red by 5.1
14.11.0
14.313.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End4.7
Third
3021
#44
9.20.7
9.19.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End3.2
blue by 2.8
4160
#47
12.01.0
12.011.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed