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Red35
458511.2
448619.5
66599.9
Blue64
98730.4
696010.7
153816.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4149203060703564

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4486
#20
19.51.1
16.115.0
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End3.0
blue by 10.9
987
#1
30.41.2
22.824.1
Auto4.8
Teleop17.0
End8.6
Second
4585
#10
11.21.1
11.910.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.1
blue by 5.6
1538
#31
16.81.2
15.216.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End2.9
Third
6659
#38
9.91.1
10.79.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 0.8
6960
#30
10.71.2
8.810.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsEarned