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Red46
593317.7
432214.8
551417.9
Blue52
562712.4
401412.8
690414.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413601020305060704652

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5514
#37
17.90.1
13.413.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End2.8
red by 3.4
6904
#21
14.50.1
12.112.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Second
5933
#14
17.70.1
16.816.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End5.9
red by 4.9
4014
#33
12.80.1
10.210.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End3.5
Third
4322
#35
14.80.1
8.99.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End3.2
red by 2.4
5627
#34
12.40.1
11.511.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed