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Red27
157217.4
458511.2
741510.2
Blue39
66599.9
364726.8
413913.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395002060802739

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#16
17.41.1
14.913.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End4.1
blue by 9.4
26.80.6
24.724.1
Auto5.0
Teleop18.3
End3.4
Second
4585
#10
11.21.1
12.010.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.1
blue by 1.8
4139
#22
13.00.9
11.110.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Third
7415
#26
10.21.2
10.29.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 0.3
6659
#38
9.90.9
11.410.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed