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Red28
298415.4
448619.5
46167.2
Blue26
416012.0
401412.8
593317.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38421020305060702826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4486
#20
19.51.2
14.413.2
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End3.0
red by 1.7
5933
#14
17.71.5
13.712.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End5.9
Second
15.40.7
11.310.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End6.7
red by 2.6
4014
#33
12.81.5
12.711.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End3.5
Third
4616
#46
7.21.2
10.59.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 4.9
4160
#47
12.01.5
13.011.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed