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Red59
98730.4
458314.1
285316.9
Blue21
432214.8
696010.7
690414.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060801005921

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
30.41.9
18.320.2
Auto4.8
Teleop17.0
End8.6
red by 15.6
4322
#35
14.82.0
14.712.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End3.2
Second
2853
#12
16.91.9
12.414.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.0
End3.7
red by 2.4
6904
#21
14.52.0
13.011.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Third
14.11.9
11.113.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End4.7
red by 3.4
6960
#30
10.72.0
11.69.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed