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Red30
66688.9
312821.7
762616.0
Blue46
744111.9
282710.7
81217.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403201020506070803046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#13
21.71.6
15.213.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End7.4
red by 3.9
812
#2
17.90.0
11.011.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End7.3
Second
7626
#23
16.09.1
17.68.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End5.5
red by 4.1
7441
#40
11.90.0
7.47.3
Auto2.3
Teleop6.6
End3.0
Third
6668
#45
8.91.6
12.711.2
Auto4.4
Teleop2.5
End2.0
blue by 1.8
2827
#39
10.70.0
11.711.7
Auto4.9
Teleop2.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed