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Red50
248513.5
324517.4
370414.8
Blue21
741510.2
66599.9
416012.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42351020305060705021

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#19
17.40.8
12.913.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End4.9
red by 5.4
4160
#47
12.01.2
12.911.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End3.5
Second
3704
#17
14.80.8
13.314.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End3.9
red by 4.6
7415
#26
10.21.2
11.410.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Third
2485
#24
13.50.8
13.414.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End2.4
red by 3.7
6659
#38
9.91.2
8.77.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed