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Red59
448125.0
374917.7
401412.8
Blue78
265821.7
364726.8
458314.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5259304070805978

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.7
22.823.5
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End8.7
blue by 1.8
26.81.5
24.726.2
Auto5.0
Teleop18.3
End3.4
Second
17.71.0
14.015.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End3.0
blue by 4.1
21.72.3
20.322.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.0
End7.8
Third
4014
#33
12.81.0
12.313.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End3.5
blue by 1.3
14.12.3
11.013.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned52%HAB Docking oddsEarned