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Red51
374917.7
744111.9
551417.9
Blue77
98730.4
157217.4
669519.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436420304050607080905177

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5514
#37
17.91.0
17.318.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End2.8
blue by 12.5
987
#1
30.41.6
30.632.2
Auto4.8
Teleop17.0
End8.6
Second
17.71.0
15.116.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End3.0
blue by 1.7
6695
#27
19.41.6
14.215.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.9
End3.5
Third
7441
#40
11.91.0
8.59.5
Auto2.3
Teleop6.6
End3.0
blue by 5.5
1572
#16
17.41.6
15.617.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed54%HAB Docking oddsEarned