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Red39
162216.5
49819.6
126613.7
Blue46
285316.9
413913.0
324517.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504420304060703946

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#15
19.60.8
18.818.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.9
red by 2.2
3245
#19
17.40.4
13.614.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End4.9
Second
1622
#29
16.50.8
14.914.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.1
End4.3
blue by 0.4
2853
#12
16.90.4
15.616.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Third
1266
#42
13.70.8
13.212.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End2.6
red by 0.7
4139
#22
13.00.4
12.212.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed