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Red31
499016.0
641814.9
66815.1
Blue37
603611.8
170023.8
415912.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454202060801003137

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4990
#40
16.01.3
13.712.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End3.6
blue by 7.7
23.80.3
12.412.1
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Second
668
#28
15.11.3
14.313.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End3.6
red by 2.9
4159
#25
12.30.3
14.013.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End2.2
Third
6418
#24
14.91.3
14.913.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End4.6
red by 3.2
6036
#29
11.80.3
13.513.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed