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Red33
214411.2
549921.3
768611.9
Blue35
570015.4
78476.3
696216.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423902060801003335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#10
21.30.8
14.513.7
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
red by 4.4
6962
#16
16.90.5
13.112.6
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End3.8
Second
7686
#35
11.92.6
11.99.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End2.9
blue by 3.4
5700
#26
15.40.5
13.312.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.9
End1.7
Third
2144
#31
11.20.8
15.414.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End2.6
red by 4.9
7847
#34
6.33.3
6.39.6
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed