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Red16
594017.0
72457.7
67185.5
Blue59
255122.4
25319.6
541915.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40390102030506070801659

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#22
17.02.4
13.511.1
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End3.2
blue by 5.4
2551
#11
22.41.5
12.614.1
Auto2.7
Teleop15.2
End4.6
Second
7245
#30
7.72.4
12.810.4
Auto1.6
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 11.8
253
#21
19.61.5
11.312.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Third
6718
#42
5.52.4
11.48.9
Auto3.3
Teleop1.2
End0.9
blue by 10.2
5419
#19
15.61.5
12.514.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed