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Red41
594017.0
339018.6
744517.8
Blue45
64927.2
476513.1
499016.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374401020305060704145

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3390
#15
18.60.7
13.213.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End3.1
blue by 8.7
649
#4
27.20.6
15.815.1
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End8.2
Second
7445
#27
17.80.7
12.012.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End4.4
red by 1.8
4990
#40
16.00.6
11.010.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Third
5940
#22
17.00.7
9.710.3
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End3.2
red by 3.9
4765
#14
13.10.6
15.014.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed