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Red27
304513.9
415912.3
641814.9
Blue29
768611.9
66627.8
497311.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40310102050602729

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#24
14.91.6
14.012.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End4.6
red by 3.0
7686
#35
11.90.4
7.97.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Second
3045
#12
13.91.6
12.010.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End3.6
red by 2.5
4973
#17
11.40.4
11.711.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End2.3
Third
4159
#25
12.31.6
12.310.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End2.2
red by 4.5
6662
#43Sur
7.80.4
9.79.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed