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Red14
603611.8
541915.6
46698.9
Blue64
25433.3
497311.4
170023.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3854102030506070801464

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5419
#19
15.62.4
12.19.6
Auto2.7
Teleop9.9
End3.0
blue by 17.6
254
#3
33.31.5
25.727.1
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End8.5
Second
6036
#29
11.82.4
11.99.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End2.0
blue by 12.0
23.81.5
13.815.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Third
4669
#33
8.92.4
11.89.4
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End1.3
blue by 2.5
4973
#17
11.41.5
11.312.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsEarned