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Red47
549921.3
476513.1
68149.6
Blue46
255122.4
304513.9
499016.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44401020305060704746

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#10
21.30.6
15.015.6
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
blue by 1.1
2551
#11
22.40.9
17.017.9
Auto2.7
Teleop15.2
End4.6
Second
4765
#14
13.10.6
13.914.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End2.8
blue by 2.9
4990
#40
16.00.9
10.411.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Third
6814
#41
9.60.6
12.813.4
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End3.0
blue by 4.3
3045
#12
13.90.9
10.411.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed