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Red47
97211.6
214411.2
418615.8
Blue63
25433.3
66815.1
744517.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38552060804763

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4186
#20
15.81.3
12.714.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.5
End4.3
blue by 17.4
254
#3
33.30.9
27.128.0
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End8.5
Second
972
#38
11.61.3
9.210.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.1
blue by 6.2
7445
#27
17.80.9
11.512.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End4.4
Third
2144
#31
11.21.3
13.614.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End2.6
blue by 3.9
668
#28
15.10.9
13.514.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsEarned