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Red31
490417.2
570015.4
388016.3
Blue40
476513.1
84012.3
603611.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48360102030406070803140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#37
17.21.6
16.615.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.8
red by 4.0
4765
#14
13.10.7
14.515.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End2.8
Second
3880
#13
16.31.6
14.713.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
red by 4.0
840
#18
12.30.7
9.810.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.7
End3.5
Third
5700
#26
15.41.6
13.712.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.9
End1.7
red by 3.6
6036
#29
11.80.7
9.510.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed