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Red65
64927.2
304513.9
603611.8
Blue39
746818.1
696216.9
214411.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515140455560656539

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#4
27.21.7
23.124.8
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End8.2
red by 9.1
18.11.1
18.517.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End4.9
Second
3045
#12
13.91.7
13.214.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End3.6
blue by 3.0
6962
#16
16.91.1
17.516.5
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End3.8
Third
6036
#29
11.81.5
11.513.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End2.0
red by 0.5
2144
#31
11.21.1
12.111.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned52%HAB Docking oddsMissed