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Red63
541915.6
499016.0
339018.6
Blue47
490417.2
768611.9
78476.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483210204060706347

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3390
#15
18.61.6
16.918.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End3.1
red by 1.4
4904
#37
17.21.5
15.416.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Second
4990
#40
16.01.6
13.314.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End3.6
red by 4.1
7686
#35
11.91.5
10.511.9
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Third
5419
#19
15.61.6
14.816.4
Auto2.7
Teleop9.9
End3.0
red by 9.3
7847
#34
6.31.6
4.76.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed