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Red46
75113.9
236718.1
573713.2
Blue44
666513.6
741923.5
135113.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4249203060704644

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.10.3
17.217.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End3.5
blue by 5.4
23.50.2
17.817.6
Auto4.9
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Second
751
#40
13.90.2
11.011.2
Auto5.8
Teleop4.5
End3.6
red by 0.4
6665
#45
13.60.2
13.213.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End1.6
Third
5737
#10
13.20.3
11.812.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End2.2
blue by 0.2
1351
#56
13.40.2
15.615.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed