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Red74
60431.7
145816.9
584911.9
Blue32
196715.3
425512.5
29914.6
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57401020305070807432

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#5
31.70.5
27.027.5
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End9.0
red by 16.4
1967
#28
15.30.5
13.012.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.7
Second
1458
#17
16.90.7
15.015.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.7
End3.2
red by 2.3
299
#58
14.60.4
13.713.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Third
5849
#57
11.90.8
11.712.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.7
End2.1
blue by 0.6
4255
#50
12.50.5
11.411.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsEarned41%HAB Docking oddsMissed