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Red44
497312.8
425512.5
281315.9
Blue59
697016.4
72458.1
222021.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414502060801004459

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2813
#59
15.90.4
16.116.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End3.0
blue by 5.7
2220
#12
21.60.7
20.220.9
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End3.2
Second
4973
#34
12.80.4
11.511.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End3.0
blue by 3.6
6970
#49
16.41.1
13.314.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End3.4
Third
4255
#50
12.50.4
11.011.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End3.3
red by 4.4
7245
#46
8.10.7
9.510.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed