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Red42
67017.6
624110.0
584911.9
Blue48
58116.0
766718.2
19921.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405620804248

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#37
17.60.3
17.918.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 3.7
199
#6
21.30.6
21.621.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End5.6
Second
5849
#57
11.90.5
11.311.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.7
End2.1
blue by 6.3
7667
#11
18.20.5
16.916.4
Auto4.5
Teleop10.1
End3.6
Third
6241
#14
10.00.3
8.68.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.4
End3.1
blue by 6.0
581
#22
16.00.5
14.714.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsMissed