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Red64
222021.6
213517.3
497312.8
Blue38
417110.6
247317.4
135113.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49391020306070806438

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#12
21.60.5
20.921.4
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End3.2
red by 4.2
2473
#43
17.40.1
16.015.9
Auto2.6
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Second
2135
#24
17.30.5
13.714.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End3.5
red by 3.9
1351
#56
13.40.1
13.813.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Third
4973
#34
12.80.5
11.912.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End3.0
red by 2.2
4171
#18
10.60.1
7.17.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed