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Red50
697016.4
196715.3
285415.2
Blue62
67017.6
418615.2
549923.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46602040801005062

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6970
#49
16.40.8
14.415.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End3.4
blue by 6.7
5499
#15
23.00.3
22.021.6
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End4.0
Second
1967
#28
15.30.5
13.113.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.7
blue by 2.3
670
#37
17.60.3
18.217.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Third
2854
#53
15.20.5
15.716.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End3.3
Level
4186
#39
15.20.3
16.916.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed