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Red42
72458.1
415914.8
603615.5
Blue75
573713.2
603915.0
60431.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4160102030507080904275

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#26
15.50.2
15.315.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End4.3
blue by 16.2
604
#5
31.71.0
30.031.0
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End9.0
Second
4159
#16
14.80.2
14.314.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.7
End2.1
blue by 0.2
6039
#13
15.01.0
15.016.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End7.3
Third
7245
#46
8.10.2
9.39.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End2.6
blue by 5.1
5737
#10
13.21.6
11.613.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed92%HAB Docking oddsEarned