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Red48
58116.0
697016.4
730811.4
Blue61
248913.3
19921.3
236718.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445710203040507080904861

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6970
#49
16.40.6
15.816.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End3.4
blue by 4.9
199
#6
21.30.2
22.022.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End5.6
Second
581
#22
16.00.4
16.416.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.8
End2.9
blue by 2.1
18.10.2
19.119.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End3.5
Third
7308
#47
11.40.4
9.910.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End3.4
blue by 1.9
2489
#31
13.30.2
13.413.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsMissed