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Red68
502627.5
66813.6
517120.4
Blue85
186826.9
19216.2
64930.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6378401006885

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#25
27.50.5
26.927.5
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End10.0
blue by 3.1
649
#3
30.60.1
30.030.1
Auto3.8
Teleop18.2
End8.7
Second
5171
#27
20.40.5
19.620.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End6.0
blue by 6.5
26.90.1
26.927.0
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End8.3
Third
668
#52
13.60.5
13.413.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End2.9
blue by 2.6
192
#30
16.20.1
17.217.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
87%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned