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Red56
822.8
584911.9
66199.6
Blue66
624110.0
497312.8
417110.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45330102040506070805666

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#23
22.80.0
23.323.3
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End3.4
red by 10.0
4973
#34
12.80.3
12.512.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End3.0
Second
5849
#57
11.90.0
11.111.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.7
End2.1
red by 1.3
4171
#18
10.60.3
9.29.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.4
Third
6619
#48
9.60.0
8.68.6
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End3.4
blue by 0.4
6241
#14
10.00.3
9.69.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed