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Red55
203516.7
135113.4
196715.3
Blue52
744519.4
97219.0
766718.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456002040801005552

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2035
#32
16.70.8
15.916.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End2.3
blue by 2.8
7445
#55
19.40.3
20.119.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Second
1967
#28
15.30.8
14.515.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.7
blue by 3.7
972
#35
19.00.3
18.518.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Third
1351
#56
13.40.8
12.613.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End1.1
blue by 4.8
7667
#11
18.20.3
18.217.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed