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Red50
655313.5
447015.4
519929.6
Blue22
732722.0
765016.5
788712.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514002060801005022

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.1
22.122.0
Auto3.0
Teleop19.1
End7.6
red by 7.6
22.01.1
17.816.7
Auto4.5
Teleop13.4
End4.1
Second
4470
#15
15.40.1
15.115.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End2.5
blue by 1.1
7650
#18
16.59.4
17.78.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Third
6553
#21
13.50.2
11.411.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End3.0
red by 1.0
7887
#17
12.410.0
18.38.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed