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Red82
441433.3
420121.5
639813.6
Blue70
29426.7
448625.8
58012.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5858405070808270

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.31.8
26.428.2
Auto4.9
Teleop19.7
End8.7
red by 6.6
294
#3
26.70.6
23.223.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End10.3
Second
21.52.4
16.919.3
Auto4.9
Teleop12.6
End4.0
blue by 4.3
25.80.8
19.520.2
Auto3.5
Teleop16.9
End5.4
Third
6398
#35
13.63.0
11.914.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.0
End3.3
red by 0.8
580
#42
12.80.8
11.812.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsEarned65%HAB Docking oddsEarned