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Red27
586913.0
510212.3
67649.1
Blue38
585711.4
51079.7
59924.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395102060802738

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5869
#30
13.00.7
13.713.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End4.3
blue by 11.5
599
#4
24.50.7
25.624.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End5.3
Second
5102
#32
12.30.7
13.012.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End2.9
red by 1.0
5857
#36
11.40.7
12.111.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End2.2
Third
6764
#29
9.10.7
9.89.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End2.7
blue by 0.6
5107
#41
9.70.7
10.49.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed