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Red54
58012.8
113821.2
447015.4
Blue76
441433.3
788712.4
519929.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51762040601001205476

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#20
21.20.4
21.321.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End6.1
blue by 12.1
33.30.3
32.132.4
Auto4.9
Teleop19.7
End8.7
Second
4470
#15
15.40.4
15.015.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End2.5
blue by 14.2
29.60.3
28.528.7
Auto3.0
Teleop19.1
End7.6
Third
580
#42
12.80.4
12.412.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End4.1
red by 0.4
7887
#17
12.40.3
11.411.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed31%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned