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Red77
441426.5
347620.7
97328.2
Blue54
167834.7
519921.8
69621.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87934060801001201407754

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#16
28.20.4
31.731.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End7.3
blue by 6.5
34.72.3
40.638.3
Auto3.7
Teleop23.8
End7.3
Second
26.50.4
28.728.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End5.2
red by 4.6
5199
#34
21.82.3
24.722.4
Auto2.7
Teleop13.4
End5.7
Third
3476
#32
20.70.4
22.021.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
blue by 0.7
696
#38
21.42.3
22.620.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
81%Rocket oddsMissed82%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
98%HAB Docking oddsMissed99%HAB Docking oddsMissed